4
Chanson Douce
2yo Filly · 8-10
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Grand Criterium De Bordeaux Listed Stakes · 7f 209y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 10th | 13th | −2 |
| 2016-09-09 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2016 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 12/06/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.77 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |