9
Long Ke Wan
6yo Mare · 8-8
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix D'albret Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mont De Marsan | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Dax | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-06 | Toulouse | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength71%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 04/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 21/03/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 06/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.26 |
| 01/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |