11
Manly
5yo Gelding · 8-5
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix D'albret Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Pau | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Pau | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-26 | Pau | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Toulouse | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Toulouse | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength2%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 13/05/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 21/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 11/11/2025 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 30/11/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 26/12/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 16/01/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 62% | -0.20 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 69% | -0.07 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |