2
Nikolaj
6yo Horse · 9-6
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix D'albret Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Tarbes | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Toulouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 22/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.40 |
| 02/04/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 36% | -0.37 |
| 20/04/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 10/03/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 79% | +0.02 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 85% | -0.01 |
| 22/04/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 69% | -0.21 |
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 77% | -0.05 |