3
Ciao Nene
3yo Gelding · 9-2
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix De L'hippodrome De Mont-de-marsan Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Tarbes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Pau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 2nd | 1/2 | 97% | 86% | -0.12 |
| 25/09/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 14/10/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 66/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |