IvyArcIvyArc
2

Palo Santo

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix De L'hippodrome De Mont-de-marsan Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 22/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12822/10C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 13/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12813/11C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1288/09C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Lyon-Parilly?5th5th0
2025-11-13Fontainebleau?4th4th0
2025-10-22Deauville?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1013/118/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength90%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/20256th10/147%50%+0.03
13/11/20254th11/142%63%+0.20
08/09/20265th17/255%60%+0.05