3
Alhama River
3yo Colt · 8-11
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix Jacques Dogny Claiming Stakes · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
88%
Place Prob
73%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength61%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | La Teste De Buch | 2 | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | 2 | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 2 | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -13.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 29/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 05/09/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |