7
Miss De Paname
3yo Filly · 8-5
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix Jacques Dogny Claiming Stakes · 7f 209y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 8.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-08-15 | Deauville | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength78%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 09/11/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/05/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 11/06/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 23% | -0.37 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 79% | +0.23 |
| 15/08/2026 | 15th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 10/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |