5
Off To Dubai
3yo Gelding · 8-8
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix Jacques Dogny Claiming Stakes · 7f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +4.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 82% | -0.01 |
| 17/12/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 05/02/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 10% | -0.53 |
| 26/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |