1
Valtrada
3yo Filly · 9-2
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix Jacques Dogny Claiming Stakes · 7f 209y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength13%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Dax | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Toulouse | 2 | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength67%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 03/02/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |