9
Bare Elegance
5yo Filly · 8-8
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix Dimitri Legrand Handicap · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Toulouse | ? | 4th | 9th | −5 |
| 2025-10-25 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength23%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2024 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 25/09/2024 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 29/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 25/10/2025 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 15% | -0.40 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |