4

Famoso
6yo Gelding · 9-1
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix Dimitri Legrand Handicap · 7f 209y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Nantes | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-24 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 23/01/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 30/01/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 24/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.19 |
| 07/04/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 23/05/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 7% | -0.19 |
| 16/06/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |