5
Souvenir D'ecajeul
5yo Colt · 9-1
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix Dimitri Legrand Handicap · 7f 209y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.9
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-01-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength10%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 04/10/2025 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 35% | -0.07 |
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 12/01/2026 | 14th | 7/1 | 63% | 13% | -0.50 |
| 21/02/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 27/04/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |