7

Storia Di Roma

4yo Gelding · 9-1

Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix Dimitri Legrand Handicap · 7f 209y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ ParisLongchamp 15/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12015/05C?C5 @ Compiegne 16/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1283 @ Pau 28/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12928/0133 @ Mont De Marsan 23/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1233 @ Toulouse 06/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1246/0433 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 7f209y GS 125C8 @ Dax 18/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12918/05C83 @ La Teste De Buch 03/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1243 @ Dax 23/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 13023/083projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Dax35th5th0
2026-06-03La Teste De Buch33rd3rd0
2026-05-18Dax?1st6th−5
2026-04-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat33rd3rd0
2026-04-06Toulouse36th6th0
2026-03-23Mont De Marsan35th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0523/0318/0523/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength47%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20258th22/10%53%+0.53
16/06/20254th7/282%73%-0.09
28/01/20268th25/10%50%+0.50
23/03/20265th12/137%64%+0.27
06/04/20266th17/255%64%+0.09
27/04/20263rd10/147%86%+0.38
18/05/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
03/06/20263rd10/147%87%+0.39
23/08/20265th4/179%20%-0.59