7

Storia Di Roma
4yo Gelding · 9-1
Bordeaux Le Bouscat · Prix Dimitri Legrand Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Dax | ? | 1st | 6th | −5 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Toulouse | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mont De Marsan | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 16/06/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 28/01/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 06/04/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.09 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 87% | +0.39 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |