3
Desdemona
4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 56
Brighton · Matchbook SignUp - Get 20% Back On Losses Handicap · 5f 60y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Windsor | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Brighton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -11.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 10/02/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 25/02/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 25/03/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 55% | +0.49 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |