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4

Dreambird Dolly

4yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 53

Brighton · Matchbook SignUp - Get 20% Back On Losses Handicap · 5f 60y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

81%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made all in classified event at Leicester (5f) in June. Bounced back to form with second of 11 to Roman Spring in handicap at Windsor (5f, good to firm) 3 weeks ago. Needs to follow that up here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Windsor 07/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 45 · 6f12y Goo 116 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 45 par7/056OR 456 @ Brighton 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 45 · 5f60y Goo 128 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Leicester 08/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 48 · 5f Goo 135 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 48 par8/066OR 486 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 53 · 5f21y GF 128 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Leicester 14/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 53 · 5f GF 131 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 53 par14/076OR 536 @ Salisbury 21/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 53 · 5f Goo 133 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Brighton 07/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 54 · 5f60y Goo 134 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 54 par7/086OR 546 @ Lingfield 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 54 · 5f6y Std 134 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Windsor 07/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 53 · 5f21y Goo 135 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 53 par7/096OR 53projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Windsor62nd2nd0
2026-08-22Lingfield64th4th0
2026-08-07Brighton65th5th0
2026-07-21Salisbury62nd2nd0
2026-07-14Leicester62nd2nd0
2026-06-22Windsor610th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0522/067/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/05/20268th28/10%0%0.00
29/05/20262nd12/137%88%+0.51
08/06/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
22/06/202610th9/153%18%-0.34
14/07/20262nd3/184%80%-0.04
21/07/20262nd12/137%86%+0.49
07/08/20265th3/184%33%-0.51
22/08/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
07/09/20262nd14/126%90%+0.64