7
Roman Spring
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 50
Brighton · Matchbook SignUp - Get 20% Back On Losses Handicap · 5f 60y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Windsor | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Salisbury | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Newbury | 5 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 09/07/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |