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8

Stapleford Park

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 49

Brighton · Matchbook SignUp - Get 20% Back On Losses Handicap · 5f 60y

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole victory came back in 2024 for Charlie Fellowes. Best effort for this stable when second at Lingfield in March but below form in his 4 subsequent outings. Cheekpieces go on for the first time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chelmsford City 15/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 67 · 6f Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/01/2026 · OR 67 par15/015OR 675 @ Lingfield 29/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 64 · 6f1y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/01/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Lingfield 14/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 62 · 6f1y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 62 par14/025OR 626 @ Lingfield 25/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 59 · 6f1y Std 133 · below its mark25/02/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Lingfield 20/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 55 · 5f6y Std 131 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 55 par20/036OR 556 @ Lingfield 20/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 55 · 5f6y Std 125 · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Brighton 07/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 54 · 5f60y Goo 134 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 54 par7/086OR 546 @ Lingfield 22/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 53 · 5f6y Std 133 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Bath 02/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 50 · 5f10y Goo 131 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 50 par2/096OR 50projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Bath66th6th0
2026-08-22Lingfield67th7th0
2026-08-07Brighton64th4th0
2026-04-20Lingfield67th7th0
2026-03-20Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-02-25Lingfield67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0125/027/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength19%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/01/20267th66/10%14%+0.14
29/01/20264th66/10%40%+0.40
14/02/20266th50/10%17%+0.17
25/02/20267th40/10%0%0.00
20/03/20262nd12/137%88%+0.51
20/04/20267th8/158%14%-0.44
07/08/20264th28/10%50%+0.50
22/08/20267th33/10%14%+0.14
02/09/20266th25/10%29%+0.29