4
Poor Relation
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 64
Brighton · Matchbook Betting Exchange Supporting UK Racing Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 210y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Nottingham | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ffos Las | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-20 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-15 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -23.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 90% | +0.24 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 17/06/2026 | 7th | 18/5 | 81% | 14% | -0.67 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 01/09/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |