Banged Up

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 63

Brighton · Follow Matchbook On X Nursery · 7f 216y

#13

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▼3

Strength90%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class: 2

Recent avg: C2.7

Today: 6

Class gap: +3.3

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-24	Windsor	2	8th	3rd	+4	6.8
2026-07-30	Epsom Downs	4	6th	4th	+2	6.4
2026-07-09	Newbury	2	16th	11th	+4	1.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength22%

Delivery trend +5.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
09/07/2026	16th	33/1	0%	12%	+0.12
30/07/2026	6th	12/1	37%	38%	+0.01
24/08/2026	8th	100/1	0%	22%	+0.22