5
Blue Skies Above
2yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 62
Brighton · Follow Matchbook On X Nursery · 7f 216y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength71%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Windsor | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lingfield | 2 | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength39%
Delivery trend +8.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/06/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 07/09/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.22 |