Courage Best

2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 56

Brighton · Follow Matchbook On X Nursery · 7f 216y

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼2

Strength89%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 9.7)

Highest class: 2

Recent avg: C4.0

Today: 6

Class gap: +2.0

Higher-class runs: 5

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-11	Salisbury	4	5th	3rd	+2	7.4
2026-09-07	Windsor	6	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-07-18	Newbury	2	24th	19th	+4	1.0
2026-07-13	Windsor	4	9th	7th	+2	3.4
2026-06-23	Newbury	4	9th	7th	+2	3.4
2026-06-08	Windsor	4	7th	5th	+2	5.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%

▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength40%

Delivery trend -8.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
08/06/2026	7th	50/1	0%	33%	+0.33
23/06/2026	9th	22/1	0%	11%	+0.11
13/07/2026	9th	80/1	0%	27%	+0.27
18/07/2026	24th	150/1	0%	0%	0.00
07/09/2026	4th	17/2	55%	77%	+0.22
11/09/2026	5th	9/2	76%	50%	-0.26