1

Golden Oasis

2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 65

Brighton · Follow Matchbook On X Nursery · 7f 216y

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Got off the mark in 7f maiden at Chepstow in July. Unseated rider early on nursery debut at Newbury after and failed to beat a rival in 1m Kempton nursery 23 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength92%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Bath 05/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 5f160y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS5/0624 @ Kempton 29/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f Sta 122 · HIGHER CLASS29/0644 @ Chepstow 08/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 7f16y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS8/0745 @ Kempton 05/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 68 · 1m Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 68 par5/095OR 68projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Kempton58th7th+1
2026-08-26Newbury5+1
2026-07-08Chepstow41st-1th+2
2026-06-29Kempton45th3rd+2
2026-06-05Bath28th3rd+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0629/068/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength2%

Delivery trend -11.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/06/20268th25/10%30%+0.30
29/06/20265th33/10%60%+0.60
08/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
05/09/20268th22/10%0%0.00