
Golden Oasis
2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 65
Brighton · Follow Matchbook On X Nursery · 7f 216y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kempton | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-26 | Newbury | 5 | +1 | ||
| 2026-07-08 | Chepstow | 4 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-06-29 | Kempton | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Bath | 2 | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |