Hello You Ten

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 63

Brighton · Follow Matchbook On X Nursery · 7f 216y

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼2

Strength85%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.3

Today: 6

Class gap: +1.8

Higher-class runs: 4

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-11	Salisbury	4	3rd	1st	+2	9.4
2026-08-21	Salisbury	5	11th	10th	+1	1.0
2026-08-06	Newmarket	4	3rd	1st	+2	9.4
2026-07-18	Doncaster	4	6th	4th	+2	6.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength86%

Delivery trend +10.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
18/07/2026	6th	12/1	37%	44%	+0.08
06/08/2026	3rd	5/1	74%	67%	-0.07
21/08/2026	11th	28/1	0%	9%	+0.09
11/09/2026	3rd	12/1	37%	75%	+0.38