Wild Orchid
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 50
Brighton · Follow Matchbook On X Nursery · 7f 216y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Yarmouth | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Musselburgh | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-04 | Lingfield | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-25 | Lingfield | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +18.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 17/09/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |