Zonneveld
2yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 48
Brighton · Follow Matchbook On X Nursery · 7f 216y
#11
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Yarmouth | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Bath | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Chepstow | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Lingfield | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-07-31 | Bath | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Chepstow | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/08/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 13/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 17/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |