Alterity
3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 72
Brighton · Bet 20 Pound Get 40 Pound In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap · 7f 216y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Doncaster | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ripon | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Beverley | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Hamilton | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-07-19 | Newmarket | 2 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |