8
Hamda's Joy
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 71
Brighton · Bet 20 Pound Get 40 Pound In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap · 7f 216y
#10
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Newmarket | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 8/11 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |