1
Marsh Benham
7yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 75
Brighton · Bet 20 Pound Get 40 Pound In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap · 7f 216y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Windsor | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Brighton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Salisbury | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Sandown | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Brighton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -9.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 25/11/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 01/12/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 10/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 14/09/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 45% | -0.31 |