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5

On The Inlet

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 73

Brighton · Bet 20 Pound Get 40 Pound In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap · 7f 216y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bagged a pair of 7f/1m all-weather handicaps in the spring. Below that form since though, going too freely at Salisbury and Doncaster on last 2 occasions. Drops back in trip now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength59%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Thirsk 15/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS15/0945 @ Southwell 07/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f14y Std 1335 @ Southwell 02/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 65 · 1m13y Std 125 · beat its mark02/04/2026 · OR 65 par2/045OR 656 @ Wolverhampton 09/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 65 · 7f36y Std 141 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 65 par2 @ Newbury 17/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 77 · 7f Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 77 par17/042OR 774 @ Kempton 27/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 82 · 7f Sta 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Wolverhampton 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 81 · 1m142y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 81 par17/074OR 814 @ Salisbury 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 79 · 1m1f201y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ Doncaster 11/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR 76 · 1m2f43y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 76 par11/094OR 76projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Doncaster413th12th+1
2026-08-13Salisbury43rd2nd+1
2026-07-17Wolverhampton43rd2nd+1
2026-05-27Kempton45th4th+1
2026-04-17Newbury211th7th+3
2026-04-09Wolverhampton61st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/099/0417/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength7%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/09/20254th11/271%57%-0.14
07/10/20255th33/10%60%+0.60
02/04/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
09/04/20261st2/999%100%+0.01
17/04/202611th18/15%23%+0.18
27/05/20265th9/153%67%+0.14
17/07/20263rd3/184%33%-0.51
13/08/20263rd20/10%33%+0.33
11/09/202613th50/10%25%+0.25