10
Pints In Peace
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 67
Brighton · Bet 20 Pound Get 40 Pound In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap · 7f 216y
#9
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength48%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Lingfield | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Leicester | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | York | 4 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/05/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |