Crackergee
4yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 69
Brighton · Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap · 1m 3f 198y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Ffos Las | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Ffos Las | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Kempton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-12-08 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 29/10/2025 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/11/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 08/12/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |