Gallant Lion
6yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 68
Brighton · Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap · 1m 3f 198y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Southwell | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Goodwood | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Brighton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Southwell | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Hereford | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-02 | Salisbury | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 30/08/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 20/09/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 02/10/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |
| 16/04/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 07/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 16/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |