6

Miss Guinevere

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 63

Brighton · Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap · 1m 3f 198y

#7

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair maiden who has run well since switched to handicap company, staying on when third of 10 at Salisbury (1¼m, soft) 17 days ago. That form has been franked and this longer trip promises to suit this Camelot filly so she's a player.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 25/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m Sta 120 · HIGHER CLASS25/0344 @ Goodwood 05/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS5/0644 @ Yarmouth 18/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m3y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS18/0645 @ Newmarket 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 64 · 1m2f Goo 129 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 64 par21/085OR 645 @ Salisbury 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 63 · 1m1f201y Sft 128 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 63 par11/095OR 63projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Salisbury53rd3rd0
2026-08-21Newmarket53rd3rd0
2026-06-18Yarmouth44th3rd+1
2026-06-05Goodwood45th4th+1
2026-03-25Kempton49th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/035/0618/0621/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength65%

Delivery trend -9.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/03/20269th20/10%20%+0.20
05/06/20265th18/15%33%+0.28
18/06/20264th33/10%57%+0.57
21/08/20263rd9/153%50%-0.03
11/09/20263rd9/488%78%-0.10