
Miss Guinevere
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 63
Brighton · Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap · 1m 3f 198y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Salisbury | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Newmarket | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Yarmouth | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Goodwood | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Kempton | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |