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5

Skimming Along

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 59

Brighton · Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap · 1m 3f 198y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A 2-time scorer in 2025, including over C&D. Made a solid return from 7 months off with fifth of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (1½m, all-weather) in April. Back from another break here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 05/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m1y Std 1385/0355 @ Kempton 07/04/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m Sta 1426 @ Brighton 09/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 50 · 1m3f198y GF 135 · beat its mark09/06/2025 · OR 50 par9/066OR 506 @ Lingfield 21/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 52 · 1m3f133y GF 137 · beat its mark21/06/2025 · OR 52 par5 @ Lingfield 02/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 52 · 2m68y Goo 132 · beat its mark02/08/2025 · OR 52 par2/085OR 526 @ Bath 03/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 51 · 1m3f137y Hvy 134 · beat its mark03/09/2025 · OR 51 par2 @ Bath 14/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 60 · 1m6f Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 60 par14/092OR 606 @ Chelmsford City 09/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 59 · 1m6f Std 137 · beat its mark09/10/2025 · OR 59 par6 @ Lingfield 30/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 60 · 1m4f Std 132 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 60 par30/046OR 60projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-30Lingfield65th6th−1
2025-10-09Chelmsford City62nd3rd−1
2025-09-14Bath212th8th+3
2025-09-03Bath61st2nd−1
2025-08-02Lingfield54th4th0
2025-06-21Lingfield64th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0321/0614/0930/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength47%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/03/20256th250/10%38%+0.38
07/04/202513th400/10%8%+0.08
09/06/20251st16/116%100%+0.84
21/06/20254th5/287%50%-0.37
02/08/20254th11/271%50%-0.21
03/09/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
14/09/202512th3/184%0%-0.84
09/10/20252nd16/116%80%+0.64
30/04/20265th10/147%43%-0.05