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12

Barnsnape Boy

5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 46

Brighton · Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap · 6f 210y

#8

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Resumed winning ways in classified event over C&D in June but not been in same form since, beating only one in similar company back over C&D last time. Cheekpieces are retried now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Brighton 29/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 55 · 5f60y Goo 130 · beat its mark29/09/2025 · OR 55 par29/096OR 556 @ Brighton 16/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 53 · 5f60y Goo 133 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 53 par6 @ Windsor 07/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 51 · 5f21y Goo 126 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 51 par7/056OR 516 @ Brighton 29/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 50 · 5f60y Goo 133 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 48 · 6f210y Gd 135 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 48 par9/066OR 486 @ Brighton 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 49 · 6f210y GF 135 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Brighton 07/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 49 · 5f215y GF 135 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 49 par7/076OR 496 @ Lingfield 22/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 48 · 7f GF 135 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Brighton 06/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 47 · 6f210y Goo 135 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 47 par6/086OR 47projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Brighton67th7th0
2026-07-22Lingfield68th8th0
2026-07-07Brighton64th4th0
2026-06-21Brighton64th4th0
2026-06-09Brighton61st1st0
2026-05-29Brighton67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0929/057/076/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength34%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/09/20256th11/142%29%-0.14
16/10/20257th10/382%0%-0.82
07/05/20268th16/116%30%+0.14
29/05/20267th11/271%25%-0.46
09/06/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
21/06/20264th12/137%67%+0.30
07/07/20264th16/116%70%+0.54
22/07/20268th12/137%36%-0.00
06/08/20267th14/126%14%-0.12