5
Campani
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 60
Brighton · Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap · 6f 210y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Yarmouth | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Yarmouth | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Yarmouth | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Yarmouth | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Kempton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 06/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 18/09/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |
| 08/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 11/01/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |