Cixi
3yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 65
Brighton · Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap · 6f 210y
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Windsor | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Southwell | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Goodwood | 2 | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Kempton | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Meydan | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 70% | +0.65 |
| 19/12/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 06/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 85% | -0.04 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 05/07/2026 | 10th | 2/1 | 89% | 18% | -0.71 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |