2
Royal County Glory
3yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 65
Brighton · Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap · 6f 210y
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | BHA60 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Fairyhouse | BHA62 | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Dundalk | BHA57 | 1st | 1st | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.08 |
| 10/12/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 77% | +0.11 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 01/06/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 47% | -0.30 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |