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7

Shes Got The Blues

3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 62

Brighton · Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap · 6f 210y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

91%

Place Prob

61%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bagged a third win (one over C&D) this season in 1m handicap here in September. Followed it with a good third of 11 in handicap at Bath (1m, good to firm) 16 days ago. Can go well again off an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 27/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 49 · 7f36y Std 129 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 49 par27/046OR 496 @ Bath 04/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 49 · 1m Gd 129 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Windsor 25/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 49 · 1m31y GF 125 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 49 par25/056OR 496 @ Leicester 08/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 48 · 7f Goo 125 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Brighton 21/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 52 · 6f210y GF 128 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 52 par21/066OR 526 @ Windsor 27/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 52 · 1m31y Goo 139 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Brighton 07/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 55 · 6f210y Goo 130 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 55 par7/086OR 556 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 55 · 7f216y Goo 132 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Bath 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 62 · 1m Goo 137 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 62 par12/096OR 62projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Bath63rd3rd0
2026-09-01Brighton61st1st0
2026-08-07Brighton63rd3rd0
2026-06-27Windsor63rd3rd0
2026-06-21Brighton61st1st0
2026-06-08Leicester61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/048/067/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength42%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20263rd9/276%82%+0.06
04/05/20265th7/282%43%-0.39
25/05/20264th11/142%77%+0.35
08/06/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
21/06/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
27/06/20263rd10/382%50%-0.32
07/08/20263rd7/491%60%-0.31
01/09/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
12/09/20263rd4/179%80%+0.01