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Split Elevens

8yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 64

Brighton · Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap · 6f 210y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Doubled his tally for 2026 at Lingfield (7f, all-weather) in August. Posted a good second of 13 in handicap at Yarmouth (7f, good) 11 days ago so this veteran C&D scorer needs considering off an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 07/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 61 · 7f1y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/02/2026 · OR 61 par7/025OR 616 @ Wolverhampton 13/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 60 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Wolverhampton 10/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 59 · 7f36y Std 129 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 59 par10/046OR 596 @ Southwell 28/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 58 · 7f14y Std 133 · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Wolverhampton 08/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 58 · 7f36y Std 133 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 58 par8/056OR 586 @ Lingfield 04/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 61 · 7f1y Std 131 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 61 par6 @ Wolverhampton 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 62 · 7f36y Std 134 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 62 par28/066OR 626 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 61 · 7f1y Std 138 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 61 par6 @ Yarmouth 17/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 64 · 7f3y Gd 139 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 64 par17/096OR 64projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Yarmouth62nd2nd0
2026-08-13Lingfield61st1st0
2026-06-28Wolverhampton64th4th0
2026-06-04Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-05-08Wolverhampton61st1st0
2026-04-28Southwell64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0228/0428/0617/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/02/20267th14/126%25%-0.01
13/03/20264th8/158%57%-0.01
10/04/20265th9/276%64%-0.13
28/04/20264th5/174%73%-0.01
08/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
04/06/20262nd6/168%91%+0.22
28/06/20264th3/184%63%-0.22
13/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
17/09/20262nd33/10%92%+0.92