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11

Superstorm

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 54

Brighton · Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap · 6f 210y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Got off the mark over C&D in August and has continued in good form when in the frame over C&D and fourth of 6 in 7f Kempton handicap. One to consider.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Kempton 30/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 57 · 7f Sta 132 · beat its mark30/03/2026 · OR 57 par30/036OR 576 @ Kempton 30/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 56 · 7f Sta 126 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Lingfield 19/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 57 · 7f Goo 132 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 57 par19/056OR 576 @ Yarmouth 10/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 56 · 7f3y Sft 131 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Pontefract 29/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 55 · 6f Goo 130 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 55 par29/066OR 556 @ Yarmouth 15/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 52 · 6f3y GF 123 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Brighton 07/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 50 · 6f210y Goo 125 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 50 par7/086OR 506 @ Brighton 24/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 52 · 6f210y Goo 127 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 52 par5 @ Kempton 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 52 · 7f Sta 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 52 par2/095OR 52projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Kempton54th3rd+1
2026-08-24Brighton62nd2nd0
2026-08-07Brighton61st1st0
2026-07-15Yarmouth64th4th0
2026-06-29Pontefract66th6th0
2026-06-10Yarmouth66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0310/067/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength32%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/03/20263rd11/486%67%-0.19
30/04/20262nd8/158%91%+0.33
19/05/20264th7/163%73%+0.10
10/06/20266th15/261%62%+0.01
29/06/20266th5/174%29%-0.45
15/07/20264th5/174%40%-0.34
07/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
24/08/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
02/09/20264th11/1094%40%-0.54