Candy Warhol
7yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 54
Brighton · Download The Matchbook Exchange App Apprentice Handicap · 5f 215y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Brighton | 2 | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Bath | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Ffos Las | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 21/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 87% | +0.71 |
| 15/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |