IvyArcIvyArc
8

Daley T

6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 45

Brighton · Download The Matchbook Exchange App Apprentice Handicap · 5f 215y

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 29 runs. Not at his best of late too, going too freely in a change of headgear when sixth of 9 in handicap at Bath (5.7f, good to firm) 26 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 02/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 45 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark02/03/2026 · OR 45 par2/036OR 456 @ Chelmsford City 07/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 45 · 5f Std 126 · beat its mark07/03/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Lingfield 30/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 45 · 6f1y Std 126 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 45 par30/046OR 456 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 43 · 5f60y Gd 135 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 43 par6 @ Chepstow 03/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 49 · 5f16y Goo 135 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 49 par3/076OR 496 @ Wolverhampton 06/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 49 · 5f21y Std 129 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Brighton 05/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 46 · 6f210y Goo 125 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 46 par5/086OR 462 @ Brighton 23/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 45 · 5f215y Goo 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Bath 02/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 45 · 5f160y Goo 126 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 45 par2/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Bath66th6th0
2026-08-23Brighton215th10th+4
2026-08-05Brighton68th8th0
2026-07-06Wolverhampton64th4th0
2026-07-03Chepstow67th7th0
2026-06-09Brighton63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/039/065/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength31%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/03/20266th15/261%44%-0.16
07/03/20265th22/10%43%+0.43
30/04/20268th25/10%22%+0.22
09/06/20263rd33/10%71%+0.71
03/07/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
06/07/20264th33/10%63%+0.63
05/08/20268th28/10%13%+0.13
23/08/202615th80/10%7%+0.07
02/09/20266th20/10%38%+0.38