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7

Lynwood Lad

6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 45

Brighton · Download The Matchbook Exchange App Apprentice Handicap · 5f 215y

#8

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winless since going in over 5f here last June and he came in last of 11 in classified event over C&D in June. Needs to get back on track after a break.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Bath 13/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 52 · 5f160y GS 131 · beat its mark13/09/2025 · OR 52 par13/096OR 526 @ Chelmsford City 08/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 50 · 6f Std 135 · beat its mark08/01/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Lingfield 12/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 50 · 6f1y Std 135 · beat its mark12/01/2026 · OR 50 par12/016OR 506 @ Lingfield 12/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 48 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark12/02/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Chelmsford City 26/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 45 · 6f Std 135 · beat its mark26/02/2026 · OR 45 par26/026OR 456 @ Wolverhampton 24/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 44 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark24/03/2026 · OR 44 par6 @ Brighton 29/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 46 · 5f215y Goo 126 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 46 par29/056OR 466 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 46 · 5f60y Gd 135 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Brighton 30/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 46 · 5f215y GF 135 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 46 par30/066OR 46projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30Brighton611th11th0
2026-06-09Brighton65th5th0
2026-05-29Brighton67th7th0
2026-03-24Wolverhampton64th4th0
2026-02-26Chelmsford City68th8th0
2026-02-12Lingfield68th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0912/0229/0530/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength24%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/09/202510th10/147%18%-0.29
08/01/20266th22/10%55%+0.55
12/01/20265th5/174%20%-0.54
12/02/20268th25/10%30%+0.30
26/02/20268th11/142%22%-0.20
24/03/20264th20/10%70%+0.70
29/05/20267th22/10%50%+0.50
09/06/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
30/06/202611th12/137%0%-0.37