Macanudo
5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 60
Brighton · Download The Matchbook Exchange App Apprentice Handicap · 5f 215y
#4
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Bath | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Chepstow | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Nottingham | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Southwell | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-04-18 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 17/02/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 17/03/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 18/04/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 18/06/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 09/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |