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My Mate Mackley

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 53

Brighton · Download The Matchbook Exchange App Apprentice Handicap · 5f 215y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

40%

Place Prob

33%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Gained a second win in classified company at Lingfield (6f) in August. Has run well to be in the frame all 4 runs since, fourth of 12 in 6f handicap at Southwell 6 days ago. A player off an unchanged mark with usual cheekpieces refitted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Ffos Las 30/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 47 · 5f Goo 127 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 47 par30/066OR 476 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 47 · 4f214y Std 127 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Wolverhampton 30/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 47 · 5f21y Std 128 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 47 par30/076OR 476 @ Chepstow 09/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 47 · 6f16y GF 127 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 47 · 6f1y Std 131 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 47 par13/086OR 476 @ Yarmouth 14/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 47 · 6f3y GF 137 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 47 par5 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 54 · 5f60y Goo 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 54 par1/095OR 546 @ Windsor 07/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 54 · 5f21y Goo 135 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Southwell 22/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 53 · 6f16y Std 128 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 53 par22/096OR 53projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Southwell64th4th0
2026-09-07Windsor64th4th0
2026-09-01Brighton52nd1st+1
2026-08-14Yarmouth63rd3rd0
2026-08-13Lingfield61st1st0
2026-08-09Chepstow62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/069/081/0922/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength84%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/06/20262nd4/179%83%+0.04
23/07/20262nd9/488%83%-0.05
30/07/20264th11/486%57%-0.28
09/08/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07
13/08/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
14/08/20263rd7/282%75%-0.07
01/09/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
07/09/20264th5/174%70%-0.04
22/09/20264th4/179%73%-0.06