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Nordic Glory

7yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 57

Brighton · Download The Matchbook Exchange App Apprentice Handicap · 5f 215y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Unreliable individual but he doubled her tally for the season at Bath in July. Posted a solid fifth of 17 in another handicap there last time. Can't be ruled out in his current mood.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 16/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 54 · 6f20y Std 134 · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 54 par16/016OR 546 @ Wolverhampton 26/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 54 · 6f20y Std 134 · beat its mark26/01/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Wolverhampton 09/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 54 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark09/02/2026 · OR 54 par9/026OR 546 @ Bath 13/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 53 · 5f10y Fm 133 · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Beverley 27/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 57 · 5f Goo 132 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 57 par27/056OR 576 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 56 · 6f12y GF 136 · below its mark22/06/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Bath 31/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 55 · 5f160y Fm 125 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 55 par31/076OR 556 @ Brighton 24/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 58 · 5f215y Goo 133 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 58 par2 @ Bath 13/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR 58 · 5f160y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 58 par13/092OR 58projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Bath25th0th+4
2026-08-24Brighton64th4th0
2026-07-31Bath61st1st0
2026-06-22Windsor610th10th0
2026-05-27Beverley68th8th0
2026-05-13Bath61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0113/0531/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength82%

Delivery trend +6.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20262nd11/271%88%+0.16
26/01/20264th11/486%67%-0.19
09/02/20265th7/282%43%-0.39
13/05/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
27/05/20268th22/10%13%+0.13
22/06/202610th20/10%10%+0.10
31/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
24/08/20264th14/126%25%-0.01
13/09/20265th40/10%75%+0.75