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3

Pure Passion

3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 58

Brighton · Download The Matchbook Exchange App Apprentice Handicap · 5f 215y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

15%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made a winning start in handicaps at Lingfield (5f, all-weather) in August but came in last of 8 back there (5f) 18 days ago. This is easier and she was successful on her only other go on turf.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chelmsford City 02/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 5f Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS2/0145 @ Southwell 30/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS30/0154 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 7f14y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS23/0746 @ Yarmouth 05/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 50 · 5f42y GF 132 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 50 par5/086OR 506 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 54 · 6f1y Std 137 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 54 par13/086OR 546 @ Lingfield 17/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 54 · 5f6y Std 135 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 54 par17/086OR 546 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 58 · 5f6y Std 133 · below its mark10/09/2026 · OR 58 par10/096OR 58projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Lingfield68th8th0
2026-08-17Lingfield61st1st0
2026-08-13Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-08-05Yarmouth61st1st0
2026-07-23Southwell411th9th+2
2026-01-30Southwell53rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/015/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -13.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/01/20264th40/10%57%+0.57
30/01/20263rd16/116%60%+0.44
23/07/202611th33/10%17%+0.17
05/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
13/08/20262nd13/266%86%+0.20
17/08/20261st1/297%100%+0.03
10/09/20268th11/142%0%-0.42