3
Allure
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Craon · Prix Spie (prix Claude De Langle) Stakes · 1m 6f 200y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 4th | 11th | −6 |
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 10th | −6 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | 1 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Strasbourg | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 09/12/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.08 |
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 70% | -0.23 |
| 16/05/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |